Antinuclear

Australian news, and some related international items

Market prices for uranium – grim and getting grimmer

bull-uncertain-uraniumUranium Week: Another Broker Downgrades Price Forecasts Ninemsn-Mar 24, 2014 Only four transactions totalling 500,000lbs of U3O8 equivalent were conducted in the spot uranium market last week. Industry consultant TradeTech notes year to date volumes, at just 7.4mlbs, are down 32% on the same time last year. The ongoing lack of buyer urgency saw TradeTech’s spot price indicator fall another US15c to US$34.60/lb.

Following the closure of Paladin Energy’s Kayelekera mine in Malawi, BA-Merrill Lynch now believes supply from similar new projects in Africa will be shut down for the balance of the decade. Such projects, including Imouraren in Niger, Trekkopje in Namibia and Mkuju River in Tanzania require a long term uranium price well above the broker’s estimate to cover the cost of production. This withdrawal of supply will not upset the balance in the shorter term given the extent of Japan’s stockpiles, Merrills suggests…..

Critical to global demand-supply is the restart of Japanese reactors, progress in which has been slower than the broker expected.

So far 17 of Japan’s 44 idled reactors have applied to the regulator for restart,……

Brokers have long seen the first Japanese restarts as the impetus for the uranium market to overcome its malaise, but even with the first of these in sight a well supplied market has meant little price improvement.

As a result, Merrills has lowered its 2014 spot price forecast by 3.2% ….There were no transactions in the term market last week and TradeTech’s term price indicators remain unchanged at US$37.75/lb (mid) and US$50.00/lb (long)……..http://finance.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=8819579

March 26, 2014 - Posted by | Uncategorized

1 Comment »

  1. Today’s Advertiser contains an article about a new uranium mine in SA. Apparently the SA Government has given $50,000 of taxpayers money to the Ian Wark Institute at the University of SA for them to study a way of recovering the uranium from this proposed in-situ-leach uranium mine. ANSTO is also involved. The Ian Wark Institute was set up by someone with a long history of involvement in the nuclear industry. I think he was involved in the early days of the Synroc project, another ANSTO project which seems to have fizzled out after spending umpteen million of taxpayer’s money.

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    Dennis Matthews's avatar Comment by Dennis Matthews | March 27, 2014 | Reply


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