Antinuclear

Uranium stock prices at last come to the reality of the market decline

CHART: Uranium stocks vs spot price – something’s gotta give #auspolhttp://tinyurl.com/n25brbj  Frik Els | May 15, 2014

The prospect of a Japanese nuclear reactor restart.       The end of the Russia-US megatons to megawatts program last August, eliminating a huge source of supply.      China’s accelerated plan to approve six to eight plants a year through 2020; part of its war on pollution.    The possibility of a rethink in Germany about phasing out nuclear (coal is the only viable alternative and Putin’s gas is becoming dearer).As the stars aligned for a pickup in global uranium demand so did investors for uranium stocks.

But the rapid run-up in uranium shares – especially developers – didn’t turn out to be a leading indicator.

The spot price continued to slide going below $30 a pound to levels last seen in 2005. That dragged the long term price, where most uranium business is conducted, down to $45, a six year low.

Uranium stocks have now come down to earth as this chart from Haywood Securities shows.

The independent investment dealer with $5 billion under management says now that the spot price appears to have found something of a floor, the sell-off may begin to slow down.

But the Vancouver-based firm cautions that the shares of producers and developers “remain at or above their indexed price point of 12 months ago, when spot uranium was $40.70 U3O8, a 40% premium to current spot”.

There may be more pain ahead

May 16, 2014 - Posted by Christina Macpherson | AUSTRALIA - NATIONAL, business, uranium