El Nino is just about upon us!
El Niño Odds Raised to 70% by NOAA, But El Niño is Actually Imminent (excellent graphs) Weather Underground, By: Michael Ventrice , June 07, 2014 Today’s guest blog post is by Dr. Michael Ventrice, an operational scientist for the Energy team at Weather Services International (WSI). This is a follow-up post to the ones he did on February 21 and April 4 on the progress of El Niño. Today’s post is quite technical! – Jeff Masters
The June 5, 2014 El Niño update from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center gives a 70% chance that El Niño will form this summer, and an 80% by fall, but El Niño odds are higher than this. A strong Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) event is forecast to develop over the central-eastern Pacific later this month in through early July (the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a pattern of increased thunderstorm activity near the Equator that moves around the globe in 30 – 60 days.) This MJO location favors for another period of westerly wind bursts over the Central Pacific, an atmospheric signature that is likely to be the final kick needed for a blossoming El Niño event. ……..http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2694
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