Let’s be clear, Peter Dutton’s energy plan is more focused on coal and gas than it is on nuclear power
It seems reasonable to call the Coalition’s policy what it primarily is: a proposal to expand fossil fuels
Adam Morton, 29 Oct 24, https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2024/oct/29/peter-dutton-nuclear-power-plan-coal
Some news you may not have clocked last week while the focus was on important things like a royal tour: 44 of the world’s top climate scientists, including four decorated Australian professors, released an open letter warning that ocean circulation in the Atlantic is at serious risk of collapse sooner than was previously understood.
They said a string of studies suggested the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a body backed by nearly 200 countries, had greatly underestimated the possibility that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation – or Amoc, a system of ocean currents that brings heat into the northern Atlantic west of Britain and Ireland – could in the next few decades reach a point at which its breakdown was inevitable. The cause? Rising greenhouse gas emissions.
This is consistent with what climate computer models have forecast but there are signs the circulation is weakening more rapidly than expected. Stefan Rahmstorf, from Germany’s Potsdam Institute, told my colleague Jonathan Watts that by his estimation the risk of crossing a tipping point this century so that collapse was unavoidable had increased from less than 10% to about a 50-50 chance.
If it happens, it will reshape the global climate, including cooling parts of north-western Europe so much that places such as Norway and Scotland could become unliveable while most of the planet gets hotter.
It is estimated that the northern Atlantic could rise an extra half a metre in addition to sea rise caused by global heating. Tropical rainfall would shift south, likely leading to rainforests suffering destructive droughts and regions that are now relatively dry being hit with flooding rains. Humanity would survive but the impact on ecosystems, lives and livelihoods would be, in the words of the 44 scientists, “devastating and irreversible”.
The trajectory of the Amoc echoes a similar story off Antarctica, where scientists have estimated the Southern Ocean overturning circulation, which also affects global weather patterns and ocean temperatures, has slowed by about 30% since the 1990s due to the melting of Antarctic glacial ice. This is also caused by – you guessed it – increasing temperatures linked to CO2 emissions.
I don’t raise this to suggest addressing the climate crisis is hopeless, though climate grief is real and understandable. The global effort to limit the climate emergency is not going well but amid the gloom there are some positive trends. And there is plenty of evidence that much more can be done quickly. As the mantra goes, every action – every fraction of a degree of heating avoided – counts.
I raise the warnings about the Amoc because the reality of what climate scientists are telling us is worth holding up against the energy debate in Australia, and particularly the Coalition’s nuclear power push. Too often it is completely missing from the discussion.
The central point is a familiar one: there are reams of evidence that emissions need to be cut as much and as rapidly as possible. There are other considerations that need to be met – primarily, making the project politically sustainable by ensuring energy reliability, affordability and dealing with social licence concerns. But, at the risk of stating the obvious, the overriding goal, the reason for doing any of this, is to cut pollution.
On this, the Coalition’s position fails spectacularly.
Despite all the oxygen dedicated to talking about it, the nuclear element of the opposition’s plan won’t – can’t – be more than a speculative side issue to the main game of how the country will get electricity over the next couple of decades.
The chair of the Australian Energy Regulator, Clare Savage, said in a parliamentary hearing last week it would take up to a decade to just get a nuclear regulatory framework in place. That takes us to 2035 before building even begins. The evidence from overseas is that construction of a large generator could then take twice as long again (the four nuclear plants completed in western Europe or north America this century took a minimum 18 years from announcement).
Small modular reactors? They still don’t exist, commercially.
But there are parts of the Coalition’s plan where Dutton and his climate change and energy shadow, Ted O’Brien, could move quickly – namely, limiting construction of large-scale renewable energy and instead burning more coal and gas.
Given that this is likely to be the early focus on the ground it seems reasonable to call the Coalition’s plan what it primarily is: a proposal to expand fossil fuels.
It is, of course, not the only pro-fossil fuel plan going around. The Albanese government has approved large expansions of export-focused thermal coal mines. Western Australia’s Labor government is taking the remarkable step of helping out the gas industry by no longer allowing its state Environment Protection Authority to consider climate pollution when it assesses fossil fuel developments.
But federal Labor and the Coalition are not the same on these issues. Labor has introduced some domestic climate policies, most significantly to push the country towards 82% renewable energy by 2030. In nearly every case, the Coalition supports Labor’s pro-fossil fuel plans but opposes its efforts to curtail emissions.
On coal, O’Brien accuses Labor of planning to force plants to shut early. As evidence, he points to an Australian Energy Market Operator “step change” scenario under which about 90% of coal plants will close by 2035. O’Brien says this differs markedly from the closure dates previously announced by coal plant owners.
In reality, the coal closure dates announced by companies generally don’t mean a great deal. Australia’s coal generators are becoming less reliable as they age – 26% of capacity was offline late last week – and experts including Savage have made clear their view is that the coal fleet just cannot last until a nuclear industry would be possible.
On the other, if it is possible to shut 90% of the coal fleet in a decade by accelerating renewable energy and firming support technology – as Aemo and others have suggested it is – then this is clearly good news. And a strange thing to oppose.
And, for all their rhetoric, the Coalition and its backers are yet to produce compelling evidence that explains why they think Aemo is wrong.
- Adam Morton is Guardian Australia’s climate and environment editor
This week: countering the nuclear-military-industrial news

A bit of good news. UNICEF highlights four proven policy solutions for children
TOP STORIES
Israel’s War on Journalism. Israel’s Iran reprisal, Middle East destabilized. ‘This is an extermination’: Israel’s assault on north Gaza’s last functioning hospital. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9wKluf25Or0
Sellafield cleanup cost rises to £136bn amid tensions with Treasury.
Japan struggles to find nuclear waste disposal site.
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Climate. Climate Goal “Will Be Dead Within a Few Years” Unless World Acts, UN Warns. UNEP: New climate pledges need ‘quantum leap’ in ambition to deliver Paris goals.‘Climate crunch time’: UN warns world risks over 3C warming without urgent action this decade.
‘We have emotions too’: Climate scientists respond to attacks on objectivity.
Cop29 host Azerbaijan set for major fossil gas expansion, report says.
Biodiversity. Humanity is on the verge of ‘shattering Earth’s natural limits’, say experts in biodiversity warning
Noel’s notes. Weep for Gaza, the Palestinians, weep for the Jews- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9wKluf25Or0 Behind the really nasty “NICE” nuclear energy push to control the November COP Climate Change Conference. The world’s top lying nuclear salesman is after your climate action money.
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AUSTRALIA. Top Australian honour (whaa-at !!!!) for American politician who helped push Australia into the AUKUS agreement. Union slams “false hope” in nuclear push, warns energy jobs at risk. Matt Kean lambasts ‘wild fantasy’ of former Coalition colleagues to extend coal power and build nuclear plants. Drink up: Peter Dutton needs one billion empty Coke cans to store his nuclear waste. More nuclear news headlines at https://antinuclear.net/2024/10/24/australian-nuclear-news-21-28-october/
NUCLEAR ITEMS.
| ATROCITIES. The Gazafication of Lebanon: Israel Blows up Nabatieh City Hall, kills Mayor and Aid Workers. When The Holocaust Returned It Came Denouncing Anti-Semitism And Wearing A Star Of David. |
| CLIMATE. Nuclear lobby on track to sabotage COP29 . Book: Meltdown nightmares: silent spring for climate change. |
| CIVIL LIBERTIES. Literary Institutions Are Pressuring Authors to Remain Silent About Gaza. |
| ECONOMICS. Cost overruns at Sellafield nuclear waste site to hit £136bn ALSO AT ….. |
| EDUCATION. Nuclear lobby continues to infiltrate education. Nuclear lobby propagandises to kids AGAIN! |
| EMPLOYMENT. Green jobs and green skills – the state of play. |
| ENERGY. How data centres will cut carbon emissions, not increase them. Will AI’s huge energy demands spur a nuclear renaissance? |
| ENVIRONMENT. ‘Millions of fish could die’ under current Hinkley Point C plan. Fears salt marsh plan could lead to ‘destruction’ of Severn Vale. Somerset village would be devastated by salt marsh plans. Navy ‘Innovation’ Center for “warfighting capabilities” will harm the Monterey Peninsula and ocean. Wildlife Refuge’s Toxic Past Still A Colorado Concern. Inside the radioactive island with mutant sharks that was used to test nuclear bombs. |
| EVENTS. Petition (UK). Scrutinise Sizewell C |
| HEALTH. Crew members on Royal Navy nuclear submarine left with ‘low supplies’ and suffering fatigue. |
| LEGAL. UK Snubs Council of Europe Over Assange Inquiry. Fighting for More Evidence of Assange’s Political Prosecution. |
| MEDIA. Media Hawks Make Case for War Against Iran. Israel Continues Its War On Journalism. Let’s talk about…Mainstream Media (MSM) Coverage of Israeli War Crimes. Western Press Scramble To Frame Israel’s Attack On Iran As Self Defense. Ha ha – Facebook removed my post AGAIN! |
| OPPOSITION to NUCLEAR . ‘Nuclear waste would be disaster for our seaside’. |
| PLUTONIUM. Isotopic signature of plutonium accumulated in cryoconite on glaciers worldwide. |
POLITICS.
- Ontario town starts voting today on willingness to host ‘forever’ nuclear waste storage site.
- The New Nuclear Push: New Package, Same Lies.
- Harris admits to US/Israeli genocide in Gaza….then says ‘Oops, never mind’.
- Crippling The United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA): The Knesset’s Collective Punishment of Palestinians.
- Slovenia cancels referendum on new nuclear plant. Slovenia’s referendum on new nuclear cancelled.
- MP Steffan Aquarone says scrap Norfolk nuclear power plans.
POLITICS INTERNATIONAL and DIPLOMACY. Path to peace in Ukraine is thru negotiated settlement, not escalatory war that could go nuclear.
Iran complains to IAEA about possible Israeli attack on nuclear sites. Biden to Bibi: ‘OK to continue Gaza genocide till after election’. President Biden’s depraved last 15 months enables Israel’s genocidal destruction of Gaza.
| SAFETY.Iran complains to UN nuclear watchdog about Israeli threats against its nuclear sites.US nuclear regulator kicks off review on Three Mile Island restart.Letter laments the unscientific assurances of safety by spokesmen from the nuclear industry.Are Royal Navy nuclear deterrent submarines being re-supplied mid-patrol? |
| SECRETS and LIES. Mini-Nukes, Big Bucks: The Interests Behind the SMR Push.US authorizes CIA mercenaries to run biometric concentration camps in Gaza Strip.Secrecy over radioactive pollution from nuclear bases. |
| SPACE. EXPLORATION, WEAPONS. Space Tech Is How Israel Targets Doctors’ & Journalists’ Homes For Bombing. |
| SPINBUSTER. Alistair Osborne – nuclear is waste of time and money– ALSO AT https://nuclear-news.net/2024/10/25/2-a-alistair-osborne-nuclear-is-waste-of-time-and-money/‘You couldn’t make this up’: Expert pans Ontario nuclear option. |
| TECHNOLOGY. Three Mile Island nuclear plant gears up for Big Tech reboot. |
| URANIUM. Nuclear Energy Firm Orano Halts Niger Uranium Production |
WASTES.
- Google and Amazon Are Betting Big on Nuclear: No One Has a Plan for the Radioactive Waste ALSO AT https://nuclear-news.net/2024/10/28/1-b1-google-and-amazon-are-betting-big-on-nuclear-no-one-has-a-plan-for-the-radioactive-waste/
- Nuclear waste plant ‘leaking 2,100 litres of contaminated water a day’– ALSO AT https://nuclear-news.net/2024/10/25/2-b1-nuclear-waste-plant-leaking-2100-litres-of-contaminated-water-a-day/
- Has Canada’s Nuclear Waste Management Organization earned the public’s trust? – ALSO AT https://nuclear-news.net/2024/10/26/1-b1-has-canadas-nuclear-waste-management-organization-earned-the-publics-trust/
- Decommissioning. Last German nuclear power plant to receives decommissioning and dismantling permit.
- Britain ‘must speed up’ disposal of old nuclear submarines.
- Japan to resume trial removal of Fukushima nuclear debris, reports say.
| WAR and CONFLICT. Israel strikes Iran military targets amid fears of a wider war. |
| WEAPONS and WEAPONS SALES. CND condemns ‘outrageous railroading’ of US-UK nuclear agreement renewal through Parliament. |
Matt Kean lambasts ‘wild fantasy’ of former Coalition colleagues to extend coal power and build nuclear plants

Climate Change Authority chair says Peter Dutton’s energy policy would drive up electricity bills and deter investment in renewables
Peter Hannam Economics correspondent, Guardian, 22 Oct 24
Extending the life of ageing coal-fired power stations before nuclear plants can be built is a “wild fantasy” that would deter near-term investment in renewables and push up power bills, according to Matt Kean, the Climate Change Authority chair.
The federal Coalition’s nuclear strategy was “an illiberal drive to intervene in the market-led energy transition [that had] been elevated from internet chatrooms and lobby groups to the national stage”, said Kean, a former energy minister in a Coalition government in New South Wales.
“The ‘delay-mongers’ have latched on to nuclear power despite the overwhelming evidence that it can only drive up energy bills, can only be more expensive, and can only take too long to build,” he told an AFR energy conference in Sydney on Tuesday.
“I suspect that even those arguing for nuclear don’t believe we’ll ever build one of these reactors in Australia … and certainly not in time to help manage the exit of coal from the system.”
The Albanese government appointed Kean, who has long advocated for more urgent climate action including by his then federal Liberal colleagues, to head the independent authority in June……………………………………………………… https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/oct/22/matt-kean-fantasy-coalition-energy-policy-coal-nuclear-power?fbclid=IwY2xjawGFBTtleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHZOLw35JiI_0LOuO7ud0lCdaODH8ws-XTXtm6BjH-aQRT5FT8Ac8UKeUTQ_aem_yTUmsY_z33BOm66Ol9MkEA
Crisafulli victory sets up awkward clash over nuclear

AFR James Hall, Queensland correspondent, 28 Oct 24
Incoming Queensland premier David Crisafulli, who is now the highest-ranking conservative leader in Australia, is expected to hold firm to his repeated rejection of his federal counterpart’s nuclear energy push.
Mr Crisafulli will be sworn in as premier after securing a comfortable mandate at the weekend’s election, with his ascension compounding an awkward schism in the energy policies of the state and federal party branches.
Establishing a nuclear energy grid across the country, which includes two nuclear plants in Queensland, will form federal Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s headline policy at the next national poll, due by May.
The Queensland-based federal leader will be eager to shore up the Coalition’s dominance in the Sunshine State, where it holds 70 per cent of the seats, but it was unlikely to secure the support for nuclear from the incoming premier.
Nationals leader David Littleproud, another Queensland figure, has in the past been infuriated by the state branch’s refusal to fall in behind the energy policy and on Sunday again said he expected all states to back nuclear if the coalition forms government…………………………………………………. more https://www.afr.com/politics/crisafulli-victory-sets-up-awkward-clash-over-nuclear-20241027-p5kloh
Coalition’s nuclear plan is ‘today’s version of a lump of coal in parliament’, inquiry told.

Renewables advocate tells parliamentary hearing that opposition’s nuclear proposal is a ‘smokescreen’ for burning coal and gas.
Graham Readfearn, 28 Oct 24, Guardian,
The Coalition did not approach Geoscience Australia to ask about the suitability of any of the seven sites where it wants to put nuclear reactors, including asking about risks from earthquakes, a parliamentary hearing was told.
The government called the parliamentary inquiry to scrutinise the Coalition’s proposals to lift the country’s ban on nuclear energy and build taxpayer-funded reactors at seven sites.
One renewables industry figure attacked the Coalition’s plans during the hearing, saying it was a “smokescreen” to continue to burn coal and gas.
During the hearing on Monday, officials from Geoscience Australia said it would probably take two years to carry out comprehensive “geohazard” assessments for each site that would look at risks including earthquakes and tsunamis, and geological formations beneath each site such as groundwater sources and caves…………………………………………..
John Grimes, the chief executive of the Smart Energy Council, an advocacy group representing clean energy businesses, told the inquiry the Coalition’s plan was “all about attacking renewables and boosting fossil fuels”.
Grimes, recalling former prime minister Scott Morrison’s 2017 parliamentary taunt, labelled the proposal “today’s version of a lump of coal in parliament”.
“The motivation [of the Coalition’s plan] is to attack renewables and hold them back,” he said. “Nothing has changed. This is a smokescreen.”
The committee is due to deliver a final report no later than 30 April 2025, which is likely to be before the next general election. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/oct/28/peter-dutton-liberal-coalition-nuclear-plan-parliament-inquiry
Atomic power probe shows experts divided on nuclear energy
A probe into atomic power is revealing a deep divide among experts, let alone members of Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s own party.
Jessica Wang and Joseph Olbrycht-Palmer, news.com.au, 28 Oct 24
The Coaliton’s nuclear plan is both “peak anti-science” and Australia’s only chance of reaching net-zero by 2050, experts have told a committee probing the viability of atomic power in Australia.
Critics and advocates of the Coalition’s nuclear plan made their way to Parliament House on Monday for the house select committee on nuclear energy’s second public hearing.
The Smart Energy Council, which has estimated the plan’s cost as high as $600bn, said the Coalition’s push for atomic power was driven by “anti-renewable” ideology rather than science.
The peak body’s chief executive John Grimes accused Opposition Leader Peter Dutton of trying to frame the energy debate in masculinity.
“It’s all about attacking renewables and boosting fossil fuels,” Mr Grimes told the committee.
“That’s why Mr Dutton tells us that there are two types of electrons: the strong manly man electrons from coal and gas and nuclear and the tepid, insipid, weak electrons from renewable energy.
“The only problem is an electron is an electron in physics. There is no difference at all.
“This is peak anti-science, tin foil hat brigade, poppycock.”
He said nuclear power was “a pinnacle of human engineering” but it was not “the answer for Australia”.
……………………………..Winfield said household bills were kept artificially low under the Ontario model, despite the high cost of refurbishing ageing nuclear facilities.
“There’s a legacy of that still in the system that we are effectively subsidising electricity bills to the tune of about $C7.3 billion a year out of general revenues. That constitutes most of the provincial deficit; that’s money that otherwise could be going on schools and hospitals.”
He said that it was key to decarbonisation of countries “in the extreme north or south of the globe”, but with renewables powering up to 40 per cent of Australia’s grid, changing course did not stack up.
“We’re saying that for Australia, in the Australian context … where we have the best solar and wind resources in the world, where we have so much land you can almost not give it away … renewable energy transition is the lowest cost path to getting to low power bills, a highly reliable engineering system and the right environmental outcomes in environmental outcomes that the Australian government has signed up to internationally.
“So, it is vital that renewables plus the energy storage road map not only continue but be accelerated because that is the future. That is the answer for Australia.”
………………………………………………………………. Last week, the committee heard from Australian Energy Regulator (AER) chair Clare Savage, who said “nuclear may well have a role to play” in meeting Australia’s energy needs, but it would take a long time.
Ms Savage said the red tape associated with getting nuclear off the ground could take “eight to 10 years for a regulatory framework”.
Works to build the nuclear reactors would not be able to start until that framework was in place, she said.
Build times can vary, but recent projects overseas put it at a little north of 10 years.
Ms Savage’s comments cast serious doubt on the Coalition’s claim that it could have small modular reactors up and running by 2035 or larger reactors by 2037.
One thing most experts agree on, whether they be independent or part of government agencies, is that Australia’s fleet of coal-fired power plants only have about a decade of operational life left.
DUTTON ‘RESPECTS’ ANTI-NUCLEAR LNP PREMIER
Mr Dutton said he would continue to convince “sensible premiers” on the Coalition nuclear plan, with newly installed Queensland Liberal National Party premier David Crisafulli committing to his anti-nuclear push.
Speaking on Monday, Mr Dutton appeared unfazed by the divide between the state and federal Coalition, with the election pledge to build seven reactors by 2050, including the first two to come online between 2035-37……………………………………. https://www.news.com.au/national/queensland/politics/peter-dutton-says-he-respects-new-qld-lnp-premiers-antinuclear-stance/news-story/2e6d5000a0e988ecb504f1600ff20825—
‘You couldn’t make this up’: Expert pans Ontario nuclear option

SMH, By Bianca Hall and Nick O’Malley, October 28, 2024
Ontario subsidises its citizens’ electricity power bills by $7.3 billion a year from general revenue, an international energy expert has said, contradicting the Coalition’s claim that nuclear reactors would drive power prices down in Australia.
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has repeatedly cited the Canadian province as a model for cheaper power prices from nuclear.
“In Ontario, that family is paying half of what the family is paying here in Perth for their electricity because of nuclear power,” Dutton said in March. “Why wouldn’t we consider it as a country?”
In July, Dutton said Canadian consumers paid about one-quarter of Australian prices for electricity.
Professor Mark Winfield, an academic from York University in Canada who specialises in energy and environment, on Monday said the reaction among people in Ontario to the comparison had ranged from disbelief to “you couldn’t make this up”.
Ontario embarked on a massive building spree between the 1960s and the 1990s, Winfield told a briefing hosted by the Climate Council and the Smart Energy Council.
In the process, he said, the provincial-owned utility building the generators “effectively bankrupted itself”. About $21 billion in debt had to be stranded to render the successor organisation Ontario Power Generation economically viable.
In 2015, the Canadian government approved a plan to refurbish 10 ageing reactors, but Winfield said the refurbishment program had also been beset by cost blowouts.
“The last one, [in] Darlington, east of Toronto, was supposed to cost $C4 billion and ended up costing $C14 [billion],” Winfield said.
“And that was fairly typical of what we saw, of a cost overrun in the range of about 2.5 times over estimate.”
In Melbourne, Dutton said while he respected new Queensland Premier David Crisafulli’s opposition to nuclear, he would work with “sensible” premiers in Queensland, South Australia and NSW on his plan, if he was elected………………………………………………..
Winfield said household bills were kept artificially low under the Ontario model, despite the high cost of refurbishing ageing nuclear facilities.
“There’s a legacy of that still in the system that we are effectively subsidising electricity bills to the tune of about $C7.3 billion a year out of general revenues. That constitutes most of the provincial deficit; that’s money that otherwise could be going on schools and hospitals.”
Dutton’s comments came as a parliamentary inquiry into the suitability of nuclear power for Australia continued in Canberra. Experts provided evidence on how long it would take to build a nuclear fleet, and the potential cost and impact on energy prices compared with the government’s plan to replace the ageing coal fleet with a system of renewables backed by storage and gas peakers.
……………………………………………………….. In its annual GenCost, CSIRO estimated earlier this year that a single large-scale nuclear reactor in Australia would cost $16 billion and take nearly two decades to build, too late for it to help meet Australia’s international climate change commitments, which requires it to cut emissions 43 per cent by 2030. It found renewables to be the cheapest option for Australia.
Dutton has so far refused to be drawn on the costs of his nuclear policy. Opposition energy spokesman Ted O’Brien said the Coalition would release costings before the next federal election, which must be held by May.
O’Brien told this masthead “expert after expert” had provided evidence that nuclear energy placed downward pressure on power prices around the world. ……………. https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/you-couldn-t-make-this-up-expert-pans-ontario-nuclear-option-20241028-p5klx1.html
Ambassador John Bolton tells 7NEWS Donald Trump re-election could mean AUKUS nuclear submarines plan torn up
7 News, By David Woiwod – US Bureau Chief, 27 Oct 24
Australia’s plans to acquire a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines would be torn-up if Donald Trump is re-elected next week, according to a former top Republican party security advisor.
The AUKUS defence pact would be one of the first US alliances to undergo a major review under an incoming Trump administration – with the official warning Australia not to take the agreement “for granted”.
“I think it could be in jeopardy,” former US ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton told 7NEWS.
“All Trump looks at is the balance sheet, and if he sees more US expenditure than those of other parties to the agreement, then I think there will be trouble.”
The defence bill that passed on Capitol Hill late last year requires the president of the day to give the final tick of approval before any US submarines are delivered to Australia.
And Ambassador Bolton is now encouraging America’s ally to immediately mount arguments in favour of the alliance if Trump wins the November poll……..
The Australian government forked out $4.5 billion dollars to help soothe US fears after lawmakers questioned America’s ability to deliver the specialised boats while meeting its own submarine production targets.
Under the first steps of the deal aimed at deterring Chinese aggression, Australia is set to receive at least three Virginia Class nuclear-powered submarines before Australian-built vessels enter service in the 2040s. https://7news.com.au/news/ambassador-john-bolton-tells-7news-donald-trump-re-election-could-mean-aukus-subs-plan-torn-up-c-16518429
Drink up: Peter Dutton needs one billion empty Coke cans to store his nuclear waste

Jim Green, Oct 26, 2024,
https://jimkgreen1.substack.com/p/drink-up-peter-dutton-needs-one-billion
Australia’s federal opposition leader Peter Dutton claims that: “If you look at a 450-megawatt reactor, it produces waste equivalent to the size of a can of Coke each year.”
Let’s help him out with the maths.
Here are the figures on waste generated across the nuclear fuel cycle to operate one conventional light-water uranium reactor (1,000 megawatts (MW) or 1 gigawatt (GW)) for one year:
1. Hundreds of thousands of tonnes of low-level radioactive tailings waste at uranium mines (unless it is an in-situ leach mine, which doesn’t produce tailings waste but does pollute groundwater e.g. the Beverley Four Mile and Honeymoon mines in SA).
Here’s a rough calculation: 10 million tonnes of low-level radioactive tailings waste are generated at the SA Olympic Dam uranium mine per year to produce enough uranium for 25 power reactors, which equates to 400,000 tonnes of tailings waste per reactor per year.
That equates to approx. 230,000 cubic metres or 1,050 million (1.05 billion) Coke cans of tailings waste … just to produce enough uranium for one reactor for one year. (The volume of one Coke can is 380 cubic centimetres or 0.00038 cubic metres (m3).)
2. About 170 tonnes of depleted uranium waste at enrichment plants (to supply one reactor for one year). That equates to 34 m3 or approx. 89,000 empty Coke cans.
3. 25-30 tonnes of spent nuclear fuel (high-level nuclear waste) per year. The volume is about 10 cubic metres. Mr. Dutton would need 26,000 empty Coke cans. There is no operating deep underground repository for high-level waste anywhere in the world, and the only operating deep repository for intermediate-level waste, WIPP in the USA, suffered a chemical explosion in an underground nuclear waste barrel in 2014 due to lax management, cost cutting and inadequate regulation.
Another 300 m3 of low- and intermediate-level waste generated at a conventional 1 GW nuclear power plant per year, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency. This comprises contaminated equipment, liquid waste, etc. Another 790,000 Coke cans.
There are also large and problematic waste streams at nuclear reprocessing plants if the spent fuel is reprocessed (about one-third of spent fuel is reprocessed, the other two-thirds is stored pending disposal). Let’s assume the spent fuel is not reprocessed.
Overall, to hold the waste generated across the nuclear fuel cycle to operate a 1 GW reactor for one year, Mr. Dutton needs over one billion empty Coke cans per year.
Excluding the front-end waste (at uranium mines and enrichment plants), and including only the waste generated at nuclear power plants, Mr. Dutton needs 816,000 empty Coke cans per year.
Just the spent nuclear fuel alone requires 26,000 empty Coke cans per year.
Small modular reactors
The Coalition proposes large, gigawatt-scale reactors in Victoria, NSW and Queensland, and small modular reactors (SMRs) in SA and WA.
For the sake of simplicity, let’s assume Mr. Dutton’s 450 MW SMRs are based on conventional light-water uranium technology, like the US NuScale design or the UK Rolls-Royce design or Russia’s floating plant.
And let’s ignore complications like plans to use higher-enriched uranium fuel (known as HALEU) in SMRs (resulting in lower volumes of more toxic waste) and let’s ignore SMR inefficiencies (resulting in more waste per unit of electricity generated compared to large reactors).
So we can simply scale the figures down from a 1 GW reactor.
For a 450 MW SMR (the size contemplated by Rolls-Royce), Mr. Dutton would need over 450 million empty Coke cans per year to accommodate waste generated across the nuclear fuel cycle.
Excluding front-end waste (at uranium mines and enrichment plants), he would need 367,000 empty Coke cans per year.
Just the spent nuclear fuel alone would require about 11,700 empty Coke cans per year.
A question for Mr. Dutton: what does he plan to do with all those Coke cans filled with nuclear waste?
Dr. Jim Green is the national nuclear campaigner with Friends of the Earth Australia and co-author of the ACF’s new report, ‘Power Games: Assessing coal to nuclear proposals in Australia’.
Crew members on Royal Navy nuclear submarine left with ‘low supplies’ and suffering fatigue
Medics reportedly feared for a ‘serious loss of life’ after plans to resupply the vessel failed to materialise
Holly Evans, 25 Oct 24,
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/nuclear-submarine-royal-navy-uk-b2635513.html
Medics on a Royal Navy nuclear submarine were reportedly left fearing a “serious loss of life” after crew members were forced to share food when supplies ran low.
During a six-month patrol, crew began to suffer from fatigue with mistakes caused by concentration lapses, while the vessel closed its honesty shop over fears of hoarding.
Navy chiefs reportedly asked the crew to hand in any supplies of chocolate or sweets and off-duty sailors were instructed to sleep to conserve calories and limit their movements.
A source told The Sun: “It was miserable. If you weren’t on watch your movements were limited to conserve energy and encouraged to sleep to burn less calories.”
They added: “Medical staff raised concerns about a serious loss of life due to fatigue and people either not concentrating or falling asleep on critical duties.”
The Vanguard-class vessel, which has not been named for security reasons, had been due to resupply at sea but had been unable to do so.
A former submarine captain said the conditions onboard the vessel were “horrific”.
Due to the shortage of available submarines, patrols have been extended for six-months rather than the usual customary 80 days.
One submarine, which forms part of the UK’s nuclear deterrent force, is always on patrol with their location remaining top secret, with sailors only allowed to receive one 40-word message each week that is censored for bad news.
The Royal Navy has emphasised that robust practices and procedures are always in place to ensure the safety of its crew on operations.
It comes three weeks after the head of the Royal Navy apologised after an investigation found “misogyny, bullying and other unacceptable behaviours” in the submarine service.
There was at least one report of rape, and women suffered lewd comments and sexual gestures, an official report has revealed.
Weep for Gaza, the Palestinians, weep for the Jews
It has now become so horrible – is the world turning away? Is it atrocity fatigue?
Look at the courage of the Jewish people in B’Tselem – The Israeli Information Center for Human Rights in the Occupied Territories, based in Jerusalem. If they have the guts to speak out – why is everybody else – especially the Biden administration and the corporate media pretending it’s all OK?
As I’ve pointed out before – there was some excuse for the Western world pretending not to notice the atrocity- the genocide – going on in Germany 1936 – 1945, because it was not so widely known – no big media coverage in the press and radio then available.
There’s no excuse now – with extraordinary journalistic evidence coming out daily – first hand videos, audios, – the courage of ordinary people and those few journalists still able to report from Gaza. Israel stops journalists from entering Gaza, and kills those who are there.
Apart from the small matter of Israel’s military aggression leading to World War 3, the Israeli government’s systematic killing of Gazans has reached a point where it is so horrendous and should be stopped now while there are still some Gazans left.

How can the world continue to believe the blitherings of Blinken and Biden?
Biden could stop the Gaza killings today – could stop supplying the weapons to Israel
Apart from the horrors suffered by the Palestinians right now – what’s going to happen to the Jews after all this?
In the USA, we have the absurdity of the arresting of Jews who protested against this Gaza genocide – and these Jews are being called “anti-semitic”.
In fact – anti-semitism is on the rise – because people are confusing the barbarity of the Netanyahu government with true Jewish religion.
While many of us – distant onlookers – feel for the suffering of the Palestinians – we may later also feel for Jews worldwide – perhaps victims of a new wave of anti-semitism.
UK Snubs Council of Europe Over Assange Inquiry

Politicians across Europe want Britain to investigate why the WikiLeaks founder spent five years in jail.
MARK CURTIS, 25 October 2024, https://www.declassifieduk.org/uk-snubs-council-of-europe-over-assange-inquiry/
Britain’s Home Office is making a “grave mistake” by ignoring a call from the Council of Europe to review its treatment of Julian Assange, the WikiLeaks founder’s wife has warned.
The Council’s parliamentary assembly, of which the UK is a member, passed a resolution earlier this month designating Assange as a “political prisoner”.
Assange endured five years in Belmarsh maximum security prison in London before being released in June, and flying to his native Australia. The UK government had incarcerated him while the US pursued extradition proceedings in the British courts.
His treatment has outraged the Council of Europe, which was created in the aftermath of World War Two with strong backing from Winston Churchill.
Its resolution urged the UK authorities to conduct a review “with a view to establishing whether he [Assange] has been exposed to torture or inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, pursuant to their international obligations”.
It found the UK authorities “failed to effectively protect Mr Assange’s freedom of expression and right to liberty, exposing him to lengthy detention in a high-security prison despite the political nature of the most severe charges against him.”
Declassified asked Britain’s Home Office what its response was to the Council of Europe’s call.
The government department deflected the question, replying: “The longstanding extradition request for Julian Assange has been resolved. As is standard practice, all extradition requests are considered on an individual basis by our independent courts and in accordance with UK law.”
The demands of the parliamentary assembly are not binding on European governments but they are “obliged to respond”.
‘Cover-up’
Stella Assange, Julian’s wife, told Declassified the Home Office is making a “grave mistake” in refusing to heed the Council of Europe’s call.
She said: “We know that the Crown Prosecution Service has disappeared key documents relating to Julian’s imprisonment and refused to provide information, first to a journalist, and now to the court, that might shed a light on the political side of Julian’s persecution in the UK.
“It is one thing for rogue elements in the CPS to collude with foreign governments to persecute a publisher and attempt to cover their tracks. It is quite another for the UK government to stonewall in this manner in the wake of an independent report by the Council of Europe and a vote by the overwhelming majority of the chamber calling on the UK to carry out an investigation.”
She added: “The UK government is effectively partaking in the cover-up, in a way that only a guilty party would.”
‘Psychological torture’
Assange’s detention in maximum security Belmarsh was “out of proportion in relation to his alleged offence”, the Council of Europe’s resolution found.
It recalled the findings of the then United Nations special rapporteur on torture, Nils Melzer, that Assange had been exposed to “progressively severe forms of cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, the cumulative effects of which can only be described as psychological torture”.
Melzer’s report, produced in 2019 while Assange had secured asylum in the Ecuadorian embassy in London, called on UK officials to be investigated for possible “criminal conduct” in their treatment of Assange. It was never reported in the UK national media.
The Council of Europe found that the UK authorities “appear to have ignored” Melzer’s findings.
Its resolution was passed with 88 in favour, 13 against and 20 abstentions. All four UK members of the parliamentary assembly voted against, including Lord Richard Keen, a Conservative peer, who expressed a dissenting opinion.
Keen argued that it was “legally incorrect” to find that Assange had been detained unlawfully, as he had violated bail conditions before and was considered a flight risk.
Keen also rejected the accusation of torture against the UK, saying that Assange’s “regrettable psychological state” identified by Melzer was due to Assange’s “self-imposed lengthy isolation in the Ecuadorian embassy in London and cannot be blamed on the UK authorities.”
‘Chilling effect’
The Council of Europe concluded that the treatment of Assange “creates a dangerous chilling effect and a climate of self-censorship affecting all journalists, publishers and others reporting matters essential for the functioning of a democratic society”.
It added: “It severely undermines the role of the press and the protection of journalists and whistle-blowers around the world.”
The resolution also noted that the Council was “alarmed” by reports that the US Central Intelligence Agency had covertly surveyed Assange while he was in the Ecuadorian embassy in London and was allegedly developing plans to poison or even assassinate him on UK soil.
Rebecca Vincent, campaigns director at Reporters Without Borders, told us that Julian Assange’s sentencing by UK courts to 50 weeks in prison for breaking bail was “disproportionate”.
She added: “His subsequent prolonged detention in a high-security prison with no charges against him in the UK, held purely on remand, constituted a gross violation of his rights.”
Vincent said: “We faced unusual restrictions from UK authorities in trying to do our jobs advocating in this case, including extreme difficulties securing consistent access to monitor extradition proceedings against Assange in UK courts, and access to visit him in Belmarsh prison. These aspects all merit a serious independent review.”
Union slams “false hope” in nuclear push, warns energy jobs at risk

Marion Rae, Oct 23, 2024, https://reneweconomy.com.au/union-slams-false-hope-in-nuclear-push-warns-energy-jobs-at-risk/
Queensland’s sparkies have been warned of the “huge risk” to thousands of jobs in renewable energy posed by nuclear plans.
The Electrical Trades Union told electricians and apprentices in a mass mailout on Wednesday that nuclear energy was a “radioactive pipe dream” that could not replace coal-fired power stations.
National policy director Katie Hepworth says the “false hope” offered by the LNP on the premise that coal-powered stations can keep running is “letting down coal communities”.
“The ETU members, our maintenance workers, who work in these power stations know that they’re being held together by all the will in the world, but they know they can’t hold on forever,” Dr Hepworth told AAP.
“There is a huge risk that if what they’re being given is a fantasy of a nuclear power station without an entire industrial plan and a renewable plan, that they’re just going to be thrown on the scrap heap again.”
Apprentices are among those voting for the first time on Saturday when Queensland goes to the polls.
Dr Hepworth said the ETU was trying to give them a vision of the economy they were stepping into as the next generation of workers.
She said there was “huge excitement” among apprentices in the type of work they would be able to do, such as working on EVs, installing appliances and building clean energy generation.
“By calling into question that renewable transition, we’re really putting all of that at risk,” Dr Hepworth said.
The union’s Nuclear Energy Report for 2024 found nuclear reactors would be more expensive, could not be built before coal exits the electricity grid, and were “simply unnecessary” given abundant renewable energy sources.
The report authored by Dr Hepworth found nuclear power would be the most expensive form of energy for Australia, at 1.5 to three times the cost per kilowatt hour of coal-fired electricity and four to eight times of solar.
Small modular reactors, still unproven on a commercial scale, would be even more costly, the CSIRO has estimated.
The Smart Energy Council has calculated the federal opposition’s proposed fleet of seven nuclear reactors at up to $600 billion, for a mere four per cent of energy supply in the grid.
Nor can nuclear power be considered a clean source of energy because radioactive waste management was “costly, complex, contested and unresolved” in Australia and globally, Dr Hepworth said.
Even countries with existing nuclear capability are choosing renewables over nuclear, including China, because of the speed of deployment, and because the cost curve is low and continues to fall.
The federal opposition’s nationwide nuclear plan, includes two Queensland sites for nuclear generation – the Callide and Tarong coal-fired power stations.
“The Queensland LNP is committed to affordable, reliable and sustainable power,” an LNP spokeswoman told AAP.
“Keeping the lights on at Callide with our Electricity Maintenance Guarantee will ensure power bills are affordable, reliable and sustainable until alternatives are ready to power Queensland,” she said.
Union boss Peter Ong said massive changes to the energy system were already affecting workers and the union had been working hard to move them into well-paid, secure jobs.
“Peter Dutton’s nuclear fantasy will throw ETU members’ jobs in the gutter,” he said.
Australia the guinea pig for the safety risks of USA deploying their nuclear submarines on the land of their “friends”?

Why nuclear inspections in Australia have suddenly spiked
The Age, By Matt Wade, October 26, 2024, https://www.theage.com.au/national/why-nuclear-inspections-in-australia-have-suddenly-spiked-20241023-p5kkrl.html
International inspections of Australia’s nuclear facilities and materials have increased by a third in the past year as the nation’s nuclear risk profile changes due to AUKUS.
Since Australia is a signatory to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, it is required to submit to regular inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to verify compliance with nuclear safeguards.
Dr Geoffrey Shaw, director general of the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office (ASNO), which ensures compliance with nuclear treaties, said there has been “a 30 per cent increase in inspections in Australia in the last couple of years”.
Under AUKUS, the navy will acquire nuclear-propelled submarines, and Shaw said that has raised Australia’s “risk setting” with the IAEA.
“This country is now going to be acquiring naval nuclear propulsion – it will have high enriched uranium in a country where we don’t currently have high enriched uranium,” he said. “That changes the equation.”
Australia’s nuclear proliferation risk profile is low; it has one research nuclear reactor in Sydney, which uses low-enriched uranium, three uranium mines and some institutions and companies permitted to handle nuclear materials.
But Shaw said the IAEA wants more assurances that there are no undeclared nuclear activities. It is now conducting inspections across the country with “as short as two-hour notification”.
In the year to June 2024, the IAEA made 22 inspections at locations including the Australia Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO), universities, defence facilities and private companies. That compares with 16 the previous year.
The first AUKUS submarines are due to be delivered to the Australian navy in the late 2030s.
When Australia, a non-nuclear-armed nation, acquires nuclear-propelled submarines, a “first-of-a-kind” regulatory approach will be needed to ensure the nation complies with its non-proliferation treaty obligations.
Corey Hinderstein, acting principal deputy administrator of America’s National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), said the nuclear safeguards developed in Australia for AUKUS will set a global benchmark for other nations that seek naval nuclear propulsion.
“We know that there are other countries that are interested in developing or partnering on naval nuclear propulsion programs, and those countries are by and large non-nuclear weapon states under the NPT, so they will have the safeguards obligation,” she said………………… https://www.theage.com.au/national/why-nuclear-inspections-in-australia-have-suddenly-spiked-20241023-p5kkrl.html
Electric Boat Slows Down Submarine Production Because of Delayed Parts
The Maritime Executive, 4 Oct 24
On Wednesday, in a confirmation of the concerns of U.S. Navy leadership, the head of General Dynamics said that her company would be slowing down the pace of construction on new submarines to match the behind-schedule pace of component deliveries.
GD’s Electric Boat division and Huntington Ingalls Industries build the Navy’s Virginia-class and future Columbia-class nuclear-powered subs. Beset by workforce and supply-chain issues, both programs have been hit with long delays – more than a year in the case of the Columbia-class. The Navy says that it can’t afford to wait for its stealthiest and deadliest platforms in an era of great power competition, and it has invested billions in infrastructure and workforce initiatives to shore up the submarine industrial base, with unclear results……………………………………………………. more https://maritime-executive.com/article/electric-boat-slows-down-sub-production-because-of-delayed-parts
